Showing posts with label Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks. Show all posts

Thursday, February 7, 2008

The Biggest Stock Market Secret: Don't Place Another Trade Until You Understand This!

This could be the most shocking article you've read for a very long time.

When you discover he biggest stock market secret of all, it could undermine everything you believe about trading in stocks. It could also completely turn your trading around by removing the "gambling" element almost entirely, and turning your losses into profits overnight.

Whether you're currently an active investor or not, you'll know the basics of how most people play the stock market. It can be summed up in two words.

Buy

Pray

You might laugh, but you know it's true!

They get a 'hot tip' from a newspaper, a tip sheet, a guy in a bar, wherever, and they go ahead and buy the stock. Then, they wait and hope and pray that it goes up, and IF it does, they sell and collect a profit.

It's not exactly what you'd call a strategy, now is it?

Of course, there are traders who work far more sophisticated strategies than "Buy & Pray". They might use charts and technical analysis and work their trades on moving averages, Fibonacci lines, Bollinger bands and so on. They might go short occasionally to profit from an expected downward move, but the "gambling" element is still there - decide which direction the stock is likely to move in, and take a position on that basis.

If you're right, fantastic! If you're wrong, it's more of your trading capital down the tubes, and back to the drawing board for the next trade.

Why do people trade this way?

Well, I've done quite an in-depth study of this, and here's what I've found. Most people trade a direction because they think they're right (of course!) and because they don't know any other way of trading.

Even more fundamentally, though, there is an underlying belief that says,

"There are people in the world who can accurately and consistently predict the direction of any given stock or market. If I work at it hard enough, I'll eventually become one of them."

(And the nagging question here, of course, is whether "eventually" will come around before the trading capital runs out!)

So here's the biggest stock market secret...

NO ONE has the ability to accurately and consistently predict the direction of any given stock or market, and so it doesn't matter how long you trade for, you'll NEVER attain this ability!

I did warn you, didn't I? You might want to re-read that a couple of times, just to let it sink in.

And then you'll find a question emerging from the gloom - So, now what??

Well, if no one can predict the direction of the market, how to those 'in the know' trade? The answer is perhaps the second-biggest stock market secret.

The reality is, the "smart money" does NOT trade the direction of the market. The "smart money" trades only in situations where a big move is likely - and the "smart money" doesn't care which direction that move takes, because they're positioned to make a profit whether the stock falls or rises!

Again, may I suggest you re-read that paragraph a couple of times, too? Consistently successful traders trade to profit from big, fast moves, regardless of whether that move is up or down.

Can you learn how to follow in their footsteps? Absolutely!

Can you profit in the same way they do, without having to "gamble" on the direction of a market or stock? Absolutely!

Will it take you away from your job, your family, your leisure time? Absolutely not! This form of trading is unique as it's largely a set-and-forget strategy - and the 'setting' takes only a few hours a month!

Once you understand this profit-either-way strategy - and I suggest you learn direct from a professional trader who does this for a living - there are only a few steps to take, once a month.

You a) check which stocks are highlighted for you; b) check for the presence of one particular indicator; c) check to see if a highlighted stock with an indicator is a definite trade on a private website; and d) place the trade (with one phone call, or through your online trading platform).

And that's it!

You then profit if the stock moves up. And you profit if the stock moves down. And can usually bank your profits in a matter of days, as you'll be trading on volatility here, which means large moves in a short timeframe.

You'll only lose a little if the stock does nothing at all which, when you understand the strategy, you'll realise is quite a rare event.

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Day Trading and Stock Investment: Determine Your Risk Latitude

very human being has a risk Acceptance that should not be unwatched. Any assuredly stock broker or financial expectner knows this, and they should make the effort to help you Find what your risk Sufferance is. Then, they should work with you to uncover investments that do not eclipse your risk Acceptance.

Identifying one’s risk Steadfastness involves several widely apart things. First, you need to know how much money you have to invest, and what your investment and financial aspirations are.

For example, if you conceive to retire in ten years, and you’ve not saved a single penny towards that aim, you need to have a high risk Scope ��" because you will need to do some aggressive ��" risky ��" investing in order to reach your financial goal.

On the other side of the coin, if you are in your early twenties and you want to start investing for your retirement, your risk Steadfastness will be low. You can afford to watch your money grow slowly over time.

Apprehend of course, that your need for a high risk Scope or your need for a low risk Sufferance really has no conveyance on how you feel about risk. Yet again, there is a lot more involved in understanding your Strength.

As an example, if you invested in the stock market and you watched the movement of that stock daily and saw that it was dropping slightly, what would you do?

Would you sell out or would you let your money ride? If you have a low Sufferance for risk, you would want to sell out… if you have a high Sufferance, you would let your money ride and see what happens. This is not based on what your financial objectives are. This Tolerance is based on how you feel about your money!

Once more, a adept financial advisor or stock broker should help you Adjudge the level of risk that you are comfortable with, and help you choose your investments accordingly.

Your risk Latitude should be based on what your financial objectives are and how you feel about the likeliness of losing your money. It’s all tied in together.

Monday, December 17, 2007

Stock Investing Advice

So here is an important piece of stock trading advice. Do not chase sudden move stocks. Very important rule to remember. The idea is to buy stocks before movement. Stock prices go up because there are usually large amounts of people buying the stock. A slow, upward trending stock is different than a rapid uptick in price. Rapid upticks have a tendency to correct very quickly. Or to plummet very quickly. Always be suspect of rapid shifts in price.

Stock chasers tend to make a habit of it. They look for rapid movement and jump on the bandwagon. It's a very bad habit to be in because what goes up quickly can fall quickly. Don't buy late.

Typically late buying stock chasers are operating off greed. The greedy investor is setting themselves up for a major downfall.

My advice is to be patient and look at another stock. Never jump on the bandwagon. Never purchase on a rising stock price alone. Stick to a sober, patient stock investing plan.

One exception to consider is a rise in price based on major company news that catches the market off-guard. A good example is a highly profitable merger that comes out of nowhere. A few months ago I purchased stock when a sudden announcement that a construction and engineering giant was being purchased by another construction giant making them the largest player in their industry. Historically in business only the top two or three players in a field survive. The small firms go under or are acquired. So a merge creating the market leader is normally a great sign the stock price is going to have a profitable, healthy future.

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

HOW TO MAKE BEST USE OF THE EMERGING STOCK MARKET

Ever since the trading in shares of financial ventures and the functions of Stock Exchanges commenced in the European countries, it was the monopoly of the affluent people and wealthy businessmen to invest in shares. As part of their deployment of wealth towards business purposes, to reap high harvests in return, they shared the capital needed for any business venture. Gradually with the advent of technological advancement like the internet marketing, most people realized that making investment in stock markets and securities is not rocket science and anybody with commonsense and prudence can do it for financial growth.

In developing nations like India, China and South East Asian countries of Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and Philippines it took longer time for investment in shares to get popularized. Today the scenario obtaining in these countries is very well encouraging and each of these countries has its own way of psychological approach to this best branch of investment of money. More and more people are getting interested to know what it is to make an investment in shares of public companies, big and small, to augment their financial position by gaining good returns on their surplus money. Deposit in banks was the only way as a secure and safe investment of money once, but in the longer run people realized that this is a myth and the returns are too low and over a period of time the real value of their money gets eroded by soaring cost of living and inflation of economy. However the high volatility of share prices still keep people distanced from Stock Exchanges for fear that their investment will disappear totally if a slide occurs in a high magnitude.

But the fact is the other way round. A wise investment made in shares after thorough scrutiny of the facts and figures related to it can really offer very good returns in the longer run, which any of the other investment channels can never come near. It is true that people hear news that millions of money go down the drain in a single day, when the share prices come down crashing. It should be understood that the money stated to be lost by the share market investors as reported by the news is only a notional thing and not real money. For example a share bought at a certain amount of money, goes up in value when there is an upward surge in the "Bullish" market and only this additional value added up by the upsurge goes when the slide occurs (known as "Bearish"), the base price of the share remaining as it is. Again this fluctuation in price is caused due to so many factors and over a period only. If the investor selects a stock market and a share of a company with sound financial backing, these temporary fluctuations will never take away the real value of the share. Over a period of one year, it can be seen that the value has increased spectacularly from what it was a year ago. This is the real calculator for the growth of the investment made and surely this is the best way to make use of the emerging Stock markets. There are hundreds of websites online keeping their doors open to educate a novice investor and lead them by their hand to the miracles of Share Market business.

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Stock Promoters - 10 Things to Look Out For

The world of Stock Promoters is just like any other in that there are many methods that are, "black eyes of the industry" if you will. For those of you unfamiliar, here is a list of 10 common scams and things to look out for and avoid when seeking the services of a Stock Promoter.

1. Pump and Dump: Pump and Dump schemes involve false or misleading information and statements to hype up the stocks, which are then 'dumped' on the public at high prices. These schemes usually involve telemarketing and internet fraud.

2. Chop Stocks: Chop Stocks are stocks that have been purchased for pennies and then sold for dollars. In these cases, the brokers are often paid "under the table" as undisclosed payoffs to sell such stocks.

3. Bait and Switch: The Bait and Switch scam in stocks is the same as it is in the retail world. The client is lured in by an advertisement for a product at a reduced price only to then find out that product is unavailable, but a similar one is. And this similar or substitute item (or in this case, stock) is not of the same quality and affordable price as the advertisement.

4. Unauthorized Trading: Some brokerages go as far as to sell stocks with policies that prohibit the customer from selling the stock when they wish to do so. Leaving you stuck with a stock as it loses value.

5. When speaking to a promoter, there are a number of key phrases they like to use that could spell out trouble for you. Here are a few typical lines a promoter will use to try and persuade you to buy a worthless stock:

a. Guarantee of profits and high returns. Promotions rely on the greed of the average individual, so they promise high returns with zero risk.

b. Claims of quick profits. Many promoters will use headlines like "Triple your investment in 3 weeks." The promise of a quick profit is a very common technique.

c. Pressure to buy. Promotions often pressure an individual to invest immediately, saying the opportunity will not last very long. If it's a solid investment opportunity, it will not disappear overnight.

d. Insider Information. Promoters like to imply that the information they are supplying you with is only known to a few people and should not be shared with others. Such information is usually false and is only used to fool an unsuspecting investor out of their money.

6. Boiler Room Operators. Boiler Room Operators are sales people who cold call potential investors and attempt to pressure them into purchasing worthless investments. They are often armed with sophisticated sales scripts and high-pressure sales methods. These operators will try to sell Penny or Microcap stocks, Foreign Exchange Investments, Risky Initial Public Offerings, and House Stocks.

7. Foreign Exchange Investments. A scam artist will try to solicit money from a potential client for investment into a foreign market during periods of financial crisis in such markets. The promoter will try to convince the client that because of the crisis, the stocks are undervalued, making it a great buying opportunity. These investments are usually fictitious.

8. House Stocks. These are stocks that an investment firm has purchased to resell to the public for a profit. They will buy stocks of a thinly traded company then pump up their stock prices and sell them to clients for a profit. Clients will find there are no other buyers for these stocks and without buyers, the stock price will fall and leave the investor with a worthless stock.

9. Affinity Group Fraud. This type of fraud is a fraud against religious, ethnic, and professional groups where a promoter will lull members of these groups into a false sense of security by allowing them to believe the promoter themselves are also a member of the same group the client is. With their guard down, the individual is taken advantage of by being persuaded into a worthless investment.

10. Free Stock Offerings. As promoters have become more innovative, the method of giving away "free stock" has found its way to the internet. A promoter will give free stock to investors without requiring any payment. In these cases, the promoter is getting some other benefit from the investor without the investor being aware of it. Usually the investor is later required to register with the promoter's website and forced to disclose personal information that is later used for undisclosed purposes. Promoters may even offer additional free shares and the investors are asked to solicit more investors for them or link their own sites to the promoter's sites.

Sunday, October 28, 2007

Stock Trading or Stock Investing

As I study the markets daily, I find a unique trade or see a stock that looks beautiful, technically, on one of my numerous monitors. Occasionally, I find myself curious how a Warren Buffet, or some other master in the market, would view it. I then tell myself it is irrelevant; our style of capitalizing off the markets is completely contradistinctive to Mr. Buffet and most investors. One of the many lessons and rules of playing the markets is to comply with your technique. At Elite Trading & Speculation our style has more of a characteristic of a trader. On the contrary to many opinions on trading, we find this trait to have such a great paramount over the classic buy and hold strategy. I am not completely opposed to this casual technique of buy and hold, but I have found short term trading to be superior in allowing us to manage risk and returns. With recent market volatility and short term trading in general, this technique has become more interesting and admirable to the novice and retail investor. First, let us remember how the classic investing technique works in general. A buy and hold portfolio needs to be diversified; this helps control risk and helps maintain the portfolio through market cycles. The portfolio should contain quality stocks and dividend paying stocks. Speculation is usually not included in a classic portfolio; however more aggressive investors do have a percentage of their portfolio in speculation, but a very small percentage. Fundamentals of each stock are very important. Most classic investors base 100% of their decision on fundamentals and ignore the technicals of the charts, although technical techniques do exist on the long term view and prove to be very effective if followed. The more advanced investor usually utilizes options and hedging techniques to manage risk, however the novice and retail investor lack knowledge in these techniques, therefore they leave this risk controlling variable out of their investment plan. The long term investor does and must trade, but they do this on a longer term basis. Once a component of their portfolio makes a great return over a long period of time the investor will either take some profits by selling a percentage of the position or swap into another stock. There are many more variables that go into classic investing, but by going through it generally will tell us this technique can work; history also tells us this technique works successfully from famous investing gurus. This technique may work well and satisfy many market players, but may put many retail and novice investors obliviously at a disadvantage. One con is the amount of capital it may take to realize gains. Starting out with little capital can be frustrating especially when the market is in a bearish mode for a lengthy period. Most classic investors do not play the market in every aspect. They usually lack the knowledge of or find it highly risky shorting stocks. When the market makes a huge correction, it always scares off a big percentage of classic investors out of the market indefinitely; although the correction could have been used as a huge buying opportunity and inevitably the market does go back up after a correction. If they would overcome their fears and hold their positions, they would go back up in parallel with more gains from new positions bought in the lows. The physiological effects are hard to bear for some when a considerable amount of an investor's capital is lost. A retail or novice investor, working a classic day job watching the market on a casual basis, may lack discipline. This does not mean investing or trading cannot be done part time, but many casual players become torpid as time goes by. This is a huge set up for complete failure. Why do we use the edge of a short term trader here at Elite Trading and Speculation? We find numerous advantages, on top of the fact that the markets are a passion of ours wanting to be actively involved in them full time. We hold positions for periods ranging from intraday to 3months. Although we are short term traders, we still have long term outlooks on stocks as well as long term price targets. For example, we have had a long term outlook on Google since December of 2005. We have not bought and held our position, but rather traded around it since 2005. Let's compare our gains based on a $25,000.00 investment, to gains that would have been made if we just bought and held our position.

Our entry price was $412.50 in December of 2005. Go to our website to view a chart of entry and exit points in Google. Our rough average of holding a position is a little over 2 months. At today's current prices, by trading the position with $25,000.00 we have a gain of $32,899.00 a 76% return. If we would have bought and held using the classic buy and hold technique; selling around today's levels we would be sitting on a gain of $15,450.00 a 62% return. This only shows that trading can have a superior advantage if executed correctly! At the same time of capitalizing on this stock, we have controlled our risk. How have we controlled our risk? First of all, we constantly research the up to date fundamentals, news, the streets outlook, and conference calls. All these variables shows us our long term outlook, but one of our most important tools that we use for the short term entry and exiting points is the chart technical's. If there was to be a turn in the outlook at any point we could have quickly closed out our position, and waited for a pull back on the charts and at that point reevaluate the stock. The saying is a trader is always on the edge worried and stressed, but on the contrary I feel more comfortable knowing I am on top of my research and if the markets turned I could quickly turn with them and profit from the downside. If we would have shorted this stock on the pullbacks we would have almost doubled our gain. Diversification in trading is not an important variable. If technology is working at the present time, that is what we put to work. If the market cycle changes we could quickly reposition into new stocks that do well in that type of cycle. In doing this, your full portfolio is always working for you; as opposed to classic investing diversification is what keeps you a float; when one part of your portfolio is not working the part that is working helps you stay in the game. One could have debated years ago that trading is not worth it due to brokerage fees. That debate is obsolete today with discount brokerage firms such as E-trade, Trade Station, and so on. These firms provide trading at deep discount fees. One could have also debated years ago that you would need a professional to trade the markets, and you would need to be in the trading pits all day. Today with the internet we can make trades at lightning speeds, and as far as information goes that is also delivered today at lightning speeds through the internet. Not to mention CNBC, and Bloomberg Television, these networks provide a great wealth of information, debates, interviews, and breaking news. Benefiting from options is also a advantage to a short term trader. There are numerous complex and also fairly simple strategies to insuring your short term positions. This is a general overview of investing and trading; we could study the technique of trading, investing, and the markets for many life times. Bottom line, the two forms of capitalizing off the markets described here will work; it is up to you to find your niche and what works best for you. Once you discover your style, study it and execute it with passion. If you would like more knowledge and guidance on trading go to our website. We will prosper step by step trade by trade.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Create a 9-percent "Dividend" on a Blue-Chip by Selling Covered Calls

Some investors buy large cap stocks, the ones that usually don't move too much in the short or intermediate term, and they sell far out of the money covered calls three or four times a year in order to increase the "dividend" that they are receiving. If that stock already pays an actual cash dividend of 3 or 4 percent, the investor can often collect another 6 or 8 percent per year by selling out-of-the-money covered calls without getting the stock called away.

If the stock does get called out, that investor would still make a positive return because the stock will probably have risen by 5 points or more in order to get called out. When that happens, the investor has collected the actual dividends that have accrued while he or she owned the stock, as well as the price increase between where the stock was when the trade was opened and the strike price of the covered calls sold.

For an example of selling far out-of-the-money covered calls on a blue chip stock, let's use Exxon Mobil (XOM). It's the largest stock in the world by market capitalization. It closed at 93.13 on October 10, 2007. Suppose the investor buys 100 shares of XOM at that price and then sells one of the January 100 calls (XOMAT), which could be done for 2.05 points at the close. The trade has slightly more than three months of time remaining, so it could be done approximately four times a year. If XOM finishes below 100 at January expiration, the investor gets to keep the entire 2.05 points of premium taken in. That's like getting an extra "dividend" of 2.20 percent during the next quarter. Repeat that three more times during a year and that investor has brought in nearly 9 percent of income from a blue-chip stock. The actual dividend yield on XOM is only 1.5 percent so this investor would be really enhancing the income flow.

If the stock runs up and closes above 100 at January expiration, it will get called out. The investor will lose the stock, but he or she will get to keep the 2.05-points of premium received for selling the call as well as the increase in the stock price from 93.13 to 100. That works out to a total profit of 8.92 points, or 9.6 percent, in less than three months. That's a great return in and of itself.

The worst case scenario would be for the stock to head lower right from the start and continue to dive. When something like that happens, the investor probably wants to get out and take a loss when it is still modest in size. Some stubborn investors rode Nasdaq stocks from triple digit prices down to almost nothing during the great bear market of 2000 to 2002. There's no reason to be that stubborn. If you have a trade that's not working, usually the best thing to do is to get out before it turns into a disaster. In the case of covered calls, some cheap out of the money puts could be bought to guard against the worst case scenario.

Monday, October 8, 2007

Are Stock Options Risky?

Warren Buffet routinely makes use of stock options to reduce risk in stock and to acquire stock at a reduced cost. If he is using stock options, they must be lower risk than just owning stock. You can even trade stock options in your IRA. That is the simple answer, but continue reading to learn why this is true.

On a dollar for dollar basis, stock option trading is less risky than stock trading over a given period of time. For example, if you thought Microsoft was going to increase in value over the two months after release of Vista, you could has either bought the stock for around $29.50 per share or bought a $30 strike price Jan '07 call for $0.70 per share. Since a stock option covers 100 shares, the option cost is $70.00 to control 100 shares versus $2950.00 to own 100 shares. If the stock goes up to $30.00 per share the option will be at about $0.92. You can calculate this using a stock option pricing calculator. That small movement in the stock results in a 30% return on the stock option and a 1.7% return on the stock. This is called leverage and is a hallmark of stock options trading. On the third Friday in Jan '07, Microsoft was up to $31.11 per share. Using your call, you can buy the stock at $30.00 or you can just sell your call for $1.11 per share, generating a 58% return on the stock option.

What if Microsoft drops? If it drops by $5.00 to $24.50, you have lost $5.00 per share on the stock but the most you loose on call stock option is the amount you paid or $0.70 per share. That is much less risk than owning stock if you are wrong and the stock goes down.

When you are long (buy) a stock option your risk is always limited to how much you paid and is always much less risk than owning the stock. The high risk in stock option trading occurs when you short (sell) options and you do not own the stock for a call option you sell or have the cash for a put option you sell. There is no need to do this.

Did you know you could even eliminate the need to forecast whether a stock is going to move up or down? You can use direction neutral stock option trading, such as straddle trading, to generate income if the stock moves either up or down. The risk in these trades is limited to your initial cost. Sometimes you can even setup some direction neutral stock option trades at no cost.

Stock options can also be used to reduce your risk in stock ownership. If you own a stock that is not moving, something that most stocks do about 80% of the time, you can sell a call option against it at a strike price higher than your stock cost. For example, assume you paid $25 per share for stock and sell a $27.50 strike call option for $0.50 per share. If the stock goes to $27.50 at expiration of the option, you have to sell the stock at $27.50. You would make total of $3.00 per share ($2.50 on stock and $0.50 on option). If the stock goes down or does not move above $27.50 by expiration, you get to keep the stock and the amount you were paid when you sold the call option. That is like generating your own $0.50 per share dividend. Also it reduces your cost in the stock by $0.50 per share. Therefore the most you can lose on that stock is 24.50, not the original $25.00.

So to answer the question, stock option trading done correctly is much less risk than stock trading. Stock options allow you to diversify much better with same amount of capital. The risk in stock option trading that is not present with stock trading is their limited lifetime. Stock options do expire. This means your forecast for the stock movement has to happen within the time frame of the options you use. This can range from 1 day to almost 3 years.

Go online and investigate stock option trading and the even lower risk found in volatility trading.

Wednesday, October 3, 2007

Penny Stock Tips

Keep an eye on the O/S count of the stock. The higher the O/S is, the less the stock is worth. Stocks with less then 1 billion shares O/S is best. Less then 500 million shares is even better. Avoid the stocks with billions and billions of shares. The company isn't worth anything and will most likely do a reverse split in the future.

A/S is authorized shares. Once the company maxes out the A/S, they usually do a reverse split or increase the A/S even higher. Be careful if the outstanding shares are getting close to the A/S.

Raising the A/S dilutes the stock even more because they will usually issue more shares and max it out,then the reverse split follows. This happens a lot with the pink sheet stocks.

Reverse splits are usually never a good sign. If you have 100,000 shares and they do a 1-100 reverse stock split, you only have 1,000 shares left. I have seen 1-5,000 reverse stock splits on the cheap stocks. Most of those are just scams. If you ever find out that they did a huge split in the past, DO NOT BUY THE STOCK. They usually just keep doing the reverse splits over and over. I AVOID THEM.

Stock Trading - Short Selling Stocks

The stock market has become the venue for millions of Americans who have learned to manage their own portfolios online. For those who do their homework, the profits can be staggering! As a trader myself, I would also have to say that online trading is very enjoyable. It's as much as a hobby as it is a way to compound funds. Setting aside an hour a night to scroll through charts and assessing the psychological mood of each equity searching for that one stock that exhibits the telltale signs of a stock that has come to a top and is ready to drop in price really gets my heart pounding. That might sound contrary to conventional wisdom but it's what many traders have come to know as quick profits. While most investors are looking for the price of a stock to rise, some savvy traders are quite content finding a stock that is poised to drop like a rock. Who are these traders? They're called short sellers and they have discovered what seventy five percent of average investors have yet to find out.

Selling a stock short is the exact opposite as buying and holding stock. It's profiting from a stock falling in price rather than the more traditional method of buying stock and profiting from the share price gaining in value. When one sells short they expect the share price to lose value and profit from the decline in price. Why would a trader want to sell a stock short? Well, one reason is a stock will drop in price about three times faster than it took to increase in price by the same amount. That equals faster profits. Another reason is traders can take advantage of all the moves a stock has to offer. Many stocks run in cycles due to various economic and seasonal conditions. Taking advantage of the advances in share price, as well as the declines offers the traders more opportunity to profit.

When a trader decides to trade stocks short they must open a margin account. When you sell a stock short, you are actually borrowing the shares from your broker. You are selling shares of stock you don't actually own. Let's say the current market price of ABC Company is selling at $25.00 a share and you believe the price of the stock will decline over the next several weeks. You borrow one hundred shares of ABC and sell them at $25.00. Since you've done your homework correctly, you watch as the price of ABC drops to $19.00 a share over the next several weeks and you decide to take your profits. To close the short trade you buy the shares back at the lower price of $19.00, satisfying your debt of one hundred shares of ABC to your broker. But instead of paying them back at $25.00 a share, you are paying them back $19.00 a share. Your profit is the difference of $6.00 a share, or $600.00.

The next time you see your stock running out of steam; don't just sell the stock to profit from the advance. Try selling the stock short and reap the rewards of a falling stock price as well. It's just as easy and many times twice as exciting!

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

How to Invest In The Stock Market

The stock market is simply a term for the overall market or industry that is concerned with buying and selling company stock, both private and publicly traded securities. It is designed to allow companies to raise money by selling stocks or shares to individuals.

The stock market is the general name for the various different stock exchanges around the world. In Canada, the main stock market is the Toronto Stock Exchange. In the US, the New York Stock Exchange. In the UK, the London Stock Exchange.

The stock market is focused on the short term, and fluctuates wildly in response to company news and events, its single quarter's earnings, external economic events, even rumours.

The stock market is an indicator of investors’ beliefs about the state of the economy. Some experts say the stock market is actually a leading indicator of about six months.

One of the many things people always want to know about the stock market is, "How do I make money investing in the stock market?”

There are many different approaches to making money in the stock market. Two basic methods are classified as either fundamental analysis or technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis refers to analyzing companies by their financial statements, financial health, management and competitive advantages, competitors and markets, business performance and trends, and general economic conditions.

Technical analysis studies price actions in markets using charts and quantitative techniques to attempt to forecast future price trends regardless of the company's financial prospects. In its purest form, technical analysis considers only the actual price behaviour of the market or instrument, based on the premise that price reflects all relevant factors before an investor becomes aware of them through other channels.

Investing in the stock market can be difficult. There are those who say the stock market is unpredictable. Novice investors should always seek out help from fiscal advisors and stock market forecasters before investing with their cash. Investing in the stock market requires patience, time, knowledge, and experience.

Trading in the stock market using trend following, trend reversals, Elliott wave counts, Fibonacci ratios,and timing indicators works very well for my trades. Trade the trend, short term or long term, until a trend reversal shows up.

The extent or duration of the new trend, the potential profit in trading with the trend, and the occurrence or timing of the next trend reversal are somewhat unpredictable. However, trend reversals do occur, they can be traded, and they can be very profitable on a regular basis.

For example, by following closely the TSX, one can trade the XIU (IShares Cdn S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund) using the trend reversal signal that occurred on August 17th.

Follow the trend until a new trend reversal shows up.

Sunday, September 23, 2007

How the Stock Market Works

There are many people who are invested in the stock market. Many of us who have money in any type of retirement account can count ourselves as a participant in the market as a whole. But have you ever stopped and wondered how the stock market actually works? Have you ever attended an auction? If you have then you might be able to relate with the daily operation of the stock market because it's basically just that, an auction for shares of ownership of publicly traded companies.

As in an auction, there is an auctioneer. But in the New York Stock Exchange (the largest stock market in the world) and the American Stock Exchange he is called a market maker. The market maker tries to match buyers with sellers just as an auctioneer would. There is no set price for a share of stock. Institutions and traders bid to buy and offer to sell and the price is set by the market maker. The price will fluctuate throughout the day depending on supply and demand. There is no fixed price for a share of stock. Bidders buy on the expectation that the price will go higher and sellers sell because they think the price will go lower. It's a huge psychological game that repeats itself daily.

Many of you have seen the floor of the NYSE on the news or on CNN during news reports about the trading day. Maybe you have seen the ringing of the bell to announce the beginning or the end of the trading day. It really is a sight to watch floor traders buy and sell their shares with the emotions of fear of loss and the greed of potential profit. The actual participants look at the stock market as something completely different as most investors.

The NAZDAQ operates completely different from the New York and American Stock exchanges. The NAZDAQ operates completely electronically. The trades placed on the NAZDAQ are placed through a huge computerized network. It's still an auction but buyers and sellers place their bids and offer shares through the network. If you can imagine a sheet of paper split down the middle into columns with bidders on one side and sellers listing their ask prices on the other. On each side both are put into different levels depending on their bid or ask price. The highest bid price gets the honor of the top slot in the buyer's column and the lowest sell price receives the same on the sell side. This is basically a description of the quote system called Level II which active traders pay close attention to as they make their daily trades.

To many of us all this goes on behind the scenes. For a growing number of people this has become an area of study as the internet has given them access to the daily auction called the stock market. The number of online traders has steadily grown since the nineteen-nineties and some have profited handsomely and continue to do so. Others consider themselves fortunate that all this goes on behind the scenes and are content with their mutual fund. Whichever camp you find yourself in, the objective is the same...to make a profit in the greatest auction in the world.